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Public Debt Dynamics and Its Influence on Albania's Financial Stability

WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics | 2026

Paper Details

Authors: Dinoshi I.; Bezo A.

DOI: 10.37394/23207.2026.23.61

Journal: WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics

Year: 2026

Publisher: World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society

Document Type: Article

Open Access: All Open Access; Gold Open Access

Cited by: 0

Abstract

This study examines the impact of public debt on Albania’s macroeconomic and financial stability, focusing on key indicators such as economic growth, inflation, and investment over the period 2010–2023. The authors apply a methodology that combines theoretical analysis with descriptive statistics, correlation techniques, and linear regression models, using official time-series data. The empirical findings reveal that public debt does not exhibit a statistically significant effect on GDP growth, indicating that Albania’s economic performance is shaped more strongly by structural and institutional factors than by debt levels alone. The results show a negative relationship between public debt and both inflation and investment, suggesting that in the Albanian context, higher debt levels may be associated with tighter fiscal conditions and a crowding-out effect on private sector activity. The paper contributes to the existing literature and offers policy-oriented insights on strengthening debt management, enhancing fiscal transparency, and supporting long-term financial stability. © 2026, World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society. All rights reserved.

Keywords

Albania; debt management; financial sustainability; fiscal transparency; GDP; Inflation; Public debt